Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Putting IS for Dough!

The Snedeker - Hahn final round pairing at Pebble was refreshing as Jim Nantz remarked: "...they smiled their entire way around the course."  One can only hope that their example sets a new trend on Tour.  As likeable as Brandt Snedeker is, James Hahn gives him an honest run...  His now famous dance on the 16th green at Scottsdale was not only artfully done but seemed genuinely spontaneous and joyous.  I actually watched his post, 3rd round interview online this week - I never do that.  Again, he is refreshingly happy to be there.  I learned that his nick name is "The Asian Brad Pitt."  Good to know!  James, you just may be my new favorite player on Tour.

Given that it was your first final-round share of the lead James, you made a very good showing.  Too bad you ran into a putting buzz saw.  The relatively small, Pebble greens were designed to be one of the defenses of this relatively short course.  That is short by today's standards @ 6,900+, par 72.  The greens were firm and fast and statistically difficult for all but Brandt, who blew the field away with 3.185 Strokes Gained on the greens in his final round.  Brandt did this with a 3-Putt from only 22 feet on the 9th hole.  That green alone set him back just over a full stroke.  Were it not for this blemish, Mr. Snedeker would have been in the rare air of 4+ Strokes Gained on the field.  Phil Mickelson did this to Tiger last year posting 4.78 Strokes Gained in his final-round to Tiger's -5.288 (Strokes Lost).  For more on this and an explanation of Strokes Gained Putting see:  (How-good-is-strokes-gained-putting?)

Let's put these Strokes Gained numbers into perspective:

1.  Brandt Snedeker was the #1 putter on Tour in 2012.  He averaged .86 Strokes Gained on the field over the entire year - IMPRESSIVE!  No wonder he won the FedX Cup!

2.  The 25 Winners that I studied in 2012 averaged 1.40 Strokes Gained per round.  Typically, three of their four rounds were gaining 1 to 3 strokes on the field and most winners survived a clunker - a slightly negative putting round.
   
The best 4-round total was 3.001.  Keegan Bradley @ Firestone.  All 4 rounds were plus numbers highlighted by 5.537 final round - the best total and the best single round I have seen.

The worst 4-round total:  -.21  Rory McIlroy @ Crooked Stick.  Incredibly, Rory lost strokes to the field in 3 of his 4 rounds.  It was; however, a much reduced field - the semi-finals of the FedX Cup.

The worst single round that I saw among the winners was Tiger who survived a 3rd round -2.649 on his way to victory at Muirfield.  Not to jump on Tiger, but his aforementioned -5.288 (against Phil at Pebble last year) is the worst single round I have seen.  Bear in mind, I usually only study the winners and players with whom I am working.

So, James Hahn's -.566 Strokes Gained final round does not seem all that bad.  However, when Stacked up against Brandt's positive 3.185, simple math reveals 3.75 of the five stroke difference in their scores.  They both hit 14 Greens and each made a single bogey.  The difference, Brandt rolled in EIGHT birdies while James made only THREE. 

1 comment:

  1. Wow! Snedeker has been in putting heaven for awhile now. What is even more impressive is his uncanny ability to come off a bogey and birdie the next hole.

    Here's James Hahn dance on 16 http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=0_s62MfvOYQ&feature=endscreen

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